TechCrunch+ roundup: Stealth recruiting, virtual sales kickoffs, Google Cloud’s Q4

Traditionally, companies hold in-person sales kickoffs (SKOs) in January and February to network, educate sales teams about new products and devise strategies for the year ahead.

These days, the convention centers and hotel ballrooms that once hosted those events are dark and quiet.

Even though most employees are vaccinated, companies are still reluctant to send them to in-person events, and in the midst of a pandemic, many workers are reluctant to get on a plane.


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One recent survey of sales and marketing professionals found that only half of respondents said they were likely to attend an event in H1 2022.

Hybrid events won’t give teams a chance to bond over karaoke, but with a tight agenda and a compelling theme, you can create a virtual or hybrid SKO that people will actually want to attend.

If you lead a sales team, this post shares several strategies for finding a theme that reflects your goals, as well as advice on scheduling, and tips on ways to express your company culture.

Even if your team is spread across several time zones, there’s still time to grab a sandwich and network: after all, Zoom karaoke still counts as team-building.

Thanks very much for reading TechCrunch+ this week!

Walter Thompson
Senior Editor, TechCrunch+
@yourprotagonist

With a $22B run rate, does it matter if Google Cloud is still losing money?

(GDD) China 2019 on September 10, 2019

Image Credits: Lyu Liang/VCG via Getty Images

“You’ve got to spend money to make money” is a cliché, but if you’re building a company that hopes to compete in the cloud, it’s a fact.

This week, Google Cloud reported $5.5 billion in revenue for Q4 2021, but “that was the good news,” reported Ron Miller and Alex Wilhelm.

“The bad news was that Google Cloud accrued operating losses worth $890 million at the same time.”

Given such high stakes, industry watchers don’t seem overly concerned by these ongoing losses, however.

“Businesses of this nature require a lot of upfront investment and buildout of infrastructure and often don’t break even for several years,” said John Dinsdale, chief analyst at Synergy Research.

3 ways web3 recruiters can improve their hiring game

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Image Credits: motorenmano (opens in a new window) / Getty Images

You wouldn’t hire a plumber to redo your wiring, and you shouldn’t hire a web3 developer if you’re building a team for your metaverse startup.

Investors are swooning over startups in these sectors, but a fat pre-seed check is not a hiring strategy.

Making matters more difficult, most developer talent is focused in a few verticals, and any offers you make must compare to incentives from companies like Apple and Microsoft.

“Engineers don’t want to only be putting out fires, they want to create and pioneer projects,” says Sergiu Matei, founder of remote talent platform Index.

Despite bumps, crypto investment starts 2022 with a roar

The crypto market hasn’t had a good year so far, with Bitcoin losing nearly a fifth of its value, and other tokens seeing similar declines.

But VCs don’t seem to mind. In fact, funding for blockchain startups has already exceeded $4 billion so far in 2022, and investors seem intent on keeping up the pace, wrote Alex Wilhelm in The Exchange.

“Sure, SaaS valuations are coming back to Earth, and some investors are taking things a bit more slowly than before — at least so we’re told — but that newfound, or perhaps reforged, conservatism does not appear to be taking hold in the crypto market.”

Fintech outperformed the market in 2021, and it’s set to do even better

A Bank building with columns consisting of a digits matrix is shown on a laptop screen. Financial services available through the website on mobile devices

Image Credits: NatalyaBurova (opens in a new window) / Getty Images

Public technology companies had a banner year in 2021, but fintech firms significantly outperformed the major stock indexes, according to a report by Matrix Partners.

Dana Stalder and Matt Brown from Matrix outlined the most interesting fintech trends of 2021 for TC+, and explained why they believe the sector will fare better than the broader market in 2022 as well.

“Fintech’s consistent outperformance signals that the changes brought about by COVID-19 – including shifts toward e-commerce, online payments and digital interactions over physical ones – are here to stay.”

The MariaDB SPAC deal could prove to be a key test for unicorn exits

SPACs had a great run. But nothing lasts forever.

However, open source relational DB provider MariaDB’s SPAC deal may be a bellwether for startups too expensive to be sold, but not yet mature enough to IPO, wrote Alex Wilhelm in The Exchange.

“MariaDB is getting a pretty good price for its equity and a bundle of cash to boot. The transaction indicates that unicorns and companies near that valuation mark with mid-double-digit ARR can find a SPAC partner that will take them to the public markets far in advance of when they might be able to on their own.”

3 views: What does ‘Line Go Up’ tell us about the state of the NFT art market?

An advertisement for Big Cats non-fungible token (NFT) on an electronic billboard in Times Square on Friday, Jan. 28, 2022.

Image Credits: Bloomberg (opens in a new window) / Getty Images

Collectors spent $22 billion on NFTs in 2021, up from $100 million the year before.

Last month, Canadian videographer Dan Olson released a two-hour video about his strongly held views on web3 and blockchain technology titled “Line Goes Up — The Problem With NFTs.”

I asked John and Alex to share their thoughts on Olson’s video as a point of departure for discussing the state of the crypto industry in general. Here’s where we ended up:

  • Walter Thompson: NFTs are scarcely minimum viable products
  • John Biggs: A shakeout has to happen for the tech to take off
  • Alex Wilhelm: I just don’t want your NFT

11 ways to make personalized shopping more effective and profitable

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My favorite story from my time working in retail: helping a familiar customer find a book they were looking for, even though the only detail they could remember was that it had a blue cover.

I reflect on that moment whenever I consider how essential personalization is for online sellers. E-commerce platforms should use every signal they can detect to triangulate shoppers along the customer journey, writes Vitaly Alexandrov, founder and CEO of Food Rocket.

Alexandrov takes us on a deep dive of the online shopping space, sharing marketing tactics and data insights that make mundane shopping experiences more memorable.

“There is no longer a question of whether or not you should offer personalized digital experiences. Anything less is a death knell to your brand’s long-term success.”

As public tech valuations fall, are startup investments evolving quickly enough?

When a stock’s value falls 10% or more from its most recent high, it’s called a correction. This week, shares in Facebook, PayPal, Spotify, Snap and other high flyers saw double-digit percentage declines.

In yesterday’s edition of The Exchange, Alex Wilhelm looked at public tech valuations and concluded that the ground is shifting underfoot.

“Why? Investors had valued a host of companies like their pandemic bump was more akin to their new reality. However, it turns out that a lot of pandemic growth wasn’t free — it came at the expense of later growth.”

TechCrunch+ roundup: 3 customer experiments, Citrix-Tibco merger, building fundraising momentum

Stating the obvious: customer discovery is essential for startups that hope to achieve product-market fit.

Unfortunately, most of us are not skilled when it comes to talking to strangers. Each member of a startup’s founding team was hired for a specific reason, but customer outreach rarely leads the list.

Early-stage startups that hope to refine their value proposition and triangulate target users cannot afford to sit back and wait for customer intelligence to roll in.

Instead, founders need to conduct their own product and marketing experiments using robust methodology that produces actionable insights. If that sounds like extra effort, it shouldn’t: it’s an essential aspect of your job.


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Elise King, program director of Human Ventures’ entrepreneur-in-residence program, interviewed three founders from her company’s portfolio to learn more about the tactics they used to acquire data:

  • Pre-MVP/customer discovery phase: Tiny Organics
  • Mid-MVP phase: Tabu
  • After product is in-market: Teal

“The overarching theme seems to be this: Listen to your demographic, learn from their experiences in order to find a way to truly service them, and don’t be afraid to pivot if needed,” advises King.

Product experiments are easy to manage, but they’re most effective when multiple team members are involved. Instead of having one person share their findings with the company, rope as many stakeholders into the process as possible.

I managed customer listening sessions at one startup that were so fruitful, our product managers, designers and engineers started attending. The direct interactions they had with early users helped us make smarter choices and fueled growth.

Go talk to some strangers: what might you learn from your earliest, most loyal customers?

Thanks very much for reading; I hope you have a great week.

Walter Thompson
Senior Editor, TechCrunch+
@yourprotagonist

Will the Citrix-Tibco merger create enterprise magic? Vista clearly thinks so

Citrix signage at the company's headquarters in Santa Clara, California, U.S., on Wednesday, Jan. 19, 2022. Elliott Investment Management and Vista Equity Partners are in advanced talks to buy software-maker Citrix Systems Inc., according to people familiar with the matter. Photographer: David Paul Morris/Bloomberg via Getty Images

Image Credits: Bloomberg (opens in a new window) / Getty Images

Most companies find it difficult to adapt to changing environments, but for legacy enterprise giants like Citrix Systems and Tibco, change is a mountain that keeps getting taller.

Where some see problems, though, others see opportunity: Vista Equity Partners and Elliot Management are betting that merging Citrix and Tibco to create an enterprise giant with leading products will help open cross-selling opportunities and market share, Ron Miller and Alex Wilhelm report.

“Both companies are now on make-it-or-break path, [but at least they are] no longer lingering on the doldrums of slow innovation,” said Holger Mueller, an analyst at Constellation Research.

How to build and maintain momentum in your fundraising process

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Capturing investors’ attention isn’t enough when you’re raising money — often, you have to convince them your funding process is efficient and that you’re talking to other investors.

Momentum is key to building this level of interest, writes Nathan Beckord, CEO of Foundersuite.com, and that energy will propel your entire fundraising process.

After opening with a “great hack for asking for email introductions,” Beckord shares five hustle tips for maintaining and capitalizing on momentum that will maximize investor interest and appeal.

Bullish or bearish? What to expect for Europe VC activity in 2022

European venture capital had a stellar 2021, recording investments of €102.9 billion, up 120% from 2020.

Ample capital, great quality startups, and healthy deal flow are a few factors that will drive the European startup market to even greater heights, Nalin Patel, EMEA VC Analyst at PitchBook, and Christoph Janz, co-founder at Point Nine Capital, told Anna Heim and Alex Wilhelm.

However, a slow-down is also likely, as changing exit expectations linked to public market declines may trickle down to early-stage venture investment in Europe, Janz said.

“There’s institutional momentum in the market via funds that VCs have already raised, and FOMO won’t die out overnight. On the other hand, public markets are jitter-inducing and exits are on hold,” Alex and Anna wrote.

To cool down China’s overheated robotics industry, go back to the basics

Robotics and software may be lumped in together when we talk about tech, but the investment philosophies for each are wildly different.

So while China sees a bubble of rapid investments in robotics startups whose valuations are rising even faster, software investors must work to understand the robotics industry, its financial needs, and timelines before they jump in, says He Huang, partner at Northern Light Venture Capital.

“Investors and companies need to go back to business basics and resist the industry’s typical impatience for exits on both sides of the negotiation table.”

Joe Rogan, economics, and why capitalism is making people blame the CCP

Streaming platforms love exclusive content — at this stage in the industry’s development, these deals are the only things that distinguishes one company from the next.

In 2020, Spotify licensed Joe Rogan’s iconoclastic podcast for more than $100 million.

But today, hundreds of scientists and doctors say Rogan is using his perch to spread COVID-19 misinformation, and the resulting furor has led several musicians to pull their work from the platform.

“This put Spotify in a pickle,” writes Alex Wilhelm in The Exchange.

“The company wants to have both a commodity music business and an exclusive podcasting business. But instead, its exclusive podcasting strategy was undercutting its core value proposition and revenue driver, namely offering most recorded music for a regular fee.”

TechCrunch+ roundup: 2021 edtech report, UBS-Wealthfront deal, falling startup revenue

I could spend hours discussing early-stage startup operations and community-based marketing, but deal flow is my blind spot.

But when investment banking firm UBS picked up financial robot-advisor Wealthfront for $1.4 billion in an all-cash deal this week, I noticed.

“At those prices, the company’s exit price is a win in that it represents a 2x or greater multiple on its final private valuations,” wrote Alex Wilhelm in The Exchange. “But its exit value is also parsable from a number of alternative perspectives: AUM, customers and revenue,” he added.

Examining each of those factors in turn, Alex found that the deal is more than just a “next-gen push” intended “to reach rich young Americans,” as some headlines suggested.

This exit will help other fintechs set expectations, but it should give a mental boost to anyone who thinks they’re too late to start up in this space.


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Just over 56% of Americans own stock, but that figure is still several points lower than it was before the Great Recession more than a decade ago. With more consumers buying crypto and fractional shares today, I’d say the robo-advisor race is still doing a parade lap.

Alex, who swims through deal flow like a carefree dolphin, agrees with me — to a point:

The recent declines in active users on platforms like Robinhood, and the success of fintechs like M1 in the last few years could point to a market more open to robo-advising, but the question is whether their lower-cost model can prove sufficiently interesting to investors.

Wealthfront, for example, takes a 0.25% cut of consumer funds. Robinhood I think was doing a bit better when we considered its PFOF incomes against lower-value customer accounts that were actively trading.

Can the robos present a financial picture that is similarly strong? If they can, they will likely prove less volatile than Robinhood has to date.

We’re essentially in agreement: it’s never too late for a good idea.

Thanks very much for reading TechCrunch+ this week!

Walter Thompson
Senior Editor, TechCrunch+
@yourprotagonist

European and North American edtech startups see funding triple in 2021

Open laptop and book on a desk, edtech

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Pre-pandemic, VCs were notoriously reluctant to invest in education-related companies. Today, edtech startups are seeing higher average deal sizes, more seed and pre-seed funding from non-VC investors, and an influx of generalists.

According to Rhys Spence, head of research at Brighteye Ventures, funding for edtech startups based in Europe and North America trebled over the last year.

“Exciting companies are spawning across geographies and verticals, and even generalist investors are building conviction that the sector is capable of producing the same kind of outsized returns generated in fintech, healthtech and other sectors,” writes Spence.

Here’s how far VCs have lowered revenue expectations for seed through Series B

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Valuations are soaring, but revenue averages for SaaS startups “have seen a recent and rapid decline,” according to a Kruze Consulting report Alex Wilhelm studied yesterday.

The revenue growth goalposts for early-stage startups wanting to fundraise have moved closer in the past couple of years, which means investors are now willing to pour money into companies with slower growth than they were earlier, Alex wrote.

“In all, startups are getting paid better, faster for less work than before. It’s a great time to raise, but a pretty awful time for venture capitalists trained in an era when they got more equity for their dollar.”

Dear Sophie: 3 questions about immigration and naturalization

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Image Credits: Bryce Durbin/TechCrunch

Dear Sophie,

My F-1 OPT will run out this June. My employer has agreed to register me in the H-1B lottery in March.

What are my options if I’m not selected in the lottery?

—Gritty Grad

I’m in the U.S. with an L-1A visa that will max out later this year. My wife has been with me during the whole period on an L-2. Can my wife apply for H-1B this year?

Would she need to leave the country to activate it?

—Helpful Hubby

I have a 10-year green card that will expire later this year. I’ve been married to a U.S. citizen for 11 years, but we are in the process of divorcing.

Can I apply for U.S. citizenship even after my divorce?

—New Year, New Life

IBM shrugs off investor EPS concerns, sells growth story

Madrid headquarters of IBM International Business Machine, the American multinational of informatics and technology consulting services in Madrid, Spain

Madrid headquarters of IBM International Business Machine, the American multinational of informatics and technology consulting services, Spain, November 2012. Image Credits: Cristina Arias/Cover/Getty Images

IBM’s earnings report was received positively, but when CFO Jim Kavanaugh declined to share the company’s earnings per share expectations on a post-earnings conference call, the stock quickly tanked.

The stock recovered the following day, but the blip was newsworthy, since a narrow focus on offloading some assets, expanding growth and free cash flow puts IBM on track for further growth, analysts told Alex Wilhelm and Ron Miller.

“Good to see IBM finding back the growth that has eluded the vendor for longer than any investor would have liked,” said Holger Mueller, an analyst at Constellation Research.

“But a small ship can sail faster, and with Kyndryl and Watson Health assets being offloaded, it will help make IBM sail faster.”

In blow to unicorns, the global IPO market continues to soften

It’s still a great time to be a startup founder. Specifically — an early-stage startup founder.

WeTransfer’s parent, WeRock, delayed its IPO earlier this week, becoming the latest major software firm to shelve its plans to go public after JustWorks.

Before that, a bevy of SPAC IPOs that many hoped would shoot to the moon instead drifted off course after launching.

These signals, taken with several others, suggest that this might not be the best time to go public, wrote Alex Wilhelm and Anna Heim in The Exchange.

“Are the good times ending?”

Edtech startups flock to the promise and potential of personalized learning

Image Credits: Getty Images/smartboy10/DigitalVision

Everyone learns differently, but parents, teachers and schools tend to forget that vital fact in the classroom.

The enforced changes brought by the pandemic, however, have led some teachers and parents to realize that personalized learning is key to education, especially in the case of neurodiverse students.

As a result, a new wave of startups have appeared that promise to deliver curricula that adapts to a student’s emotional or educational state, reports Natasha Mascarenhas.

“The pandemic’s extended stay has caused edtech entrepreneurs – and society – to view learning outcomes as broader than job placement and exam scores,” she wrote.

3 views: How should startups prepare for a post-pandemic dip?

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Image Credits: Bryce Durbin/TechCrunch

If the public markets were a swimming pool, it would still be open for business, but there’d be signs warning newcomers that the water has gotten a bit chilly.

Natasha Mascarenhas, Mary Ann Azevedo and Alex Wilhelm, the trio behind the Equity podcast, shared their predictions about what’s in store for startup funding and due diligence in 2022:

  • Natasha Mascarenhas: ‘The Lean Startup’ has aged with an asterisk
  • Alex Wilhelm: Money over bulls**t
  • Mary Ann Azevedo: Don’t try to be all the things

Crypto pioneer David Chaum says web3 is ‘computing with a conscience’

In 1982, computer scientist David Chaum wrote a dissertation that described a blockchain protocol, along with the code for implementing it.

Since then, his cryptologic research has led to developments like digital cash and anonymous communication networks. This week, he launched xxmessenger, which the company describes as the first “quantum-resistant” messaging app.

When we asked him what has changed in the past few years, Chaum said, “Seems to me that Bitcoin and the like have created something that could no longer be ignored. Now the question is: How can it be brought to the general public in a way that they can readily adopt this next generation of information technology?”

TechCrunch+ roundup: Zero-day exploits, breaking into Japan, algorithmic VC investing

We work with contributors to develop guest posts that will help TechCrunch+ readers solve actual problems, so it’s always a delight to present a comprehensive “how to” article.

In this case, Barnabas Birmacher, CEO of Platform as a Service company Bitrise, shared the lessons he learned as his team attempted to enter Japan.

Launching a product in a foreign market where you’re unfamiliar with the language and culture is a necessary step for growing companies, “but the barriers to entry are high” in Japan, Birrmacher notes, which is why building community was foundational to their expansion.

Instead of relying solely on strategic partners, his team visited Japan before ramping up to host events and engage directly with early adopters.


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Setting aside traditional media and marketing tactics, Bitrise hired a manga artist to create a comic featuring a mobile developer, developed “Japan-first” swag to hand out, and even crafted a full-sized mascot costume for conferences.

“We left the suit with one of our customers and now people wear it while they’re drinking,” he writes.

If your startup is at or near the point where you’re considering an international expansion, this post contains several tactics you can adapt and test.

“Whether or not these things make sense for you, the most important thing to do while you’re there is to show up and be a part of the community,” says Birmacher.

Thanks very much for reading TechCrunch+, and I hope you have a great week.

Walter Thompson
Senior Editor, TechCrunch+
@yourprotagonist

A CISO’s playbook for responding to zero-day exploits

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Image Credits: Kalawin (opens in a new window) / Getty Images

The Log4Shell exploit that gave bad actors the ability to execute malicious code on infiltrated servers made global headlines and ruined many cybersecurity professionals’ holidays.

Despite a series of high-profile attacks, many companies still lack a response plan, writes Jonathan Trull, SVP of customer solutions, architecture and engineering at Qualys.

Drawing on his experience as a CISO, Trull outlines three steps companies can take to develop a playbook:

  • Establish a standard operating procedure
  • Inventory, inventory, inventory
  • Information gathering, sharing and analysis

For the first time in 4 years, profitability beats growth

Origami Tortoise and the Hare

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Venture capitalists pin their hopes and expectations on revenue because it’s a clear signal of how quickly their investment may grow.

But lately, profitability has quietly overtaken revenue growth as the metric of choice, according to Jeremy Abelson and Jacob Sonnenberg of Irving Investors.

“In 2021, profitability — measured by free cash flow (FCF) margins — not revenue growth, had the higher correlation to positive stock returns in the software sector. This broke a four-year trend of revenue growth being the more important driver of software company stock performance.”

Abelson and Sonnenberg unpack the factors that are pushing investors to sell high-growth stocks and share “some of our favorite metrics as the profitability versus growth dynamic continues to play out.”

2022 crypto predictions from Prime Trust CFO Rodrigo Vicuna

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Image Credits: Klaus Vedfelt (opens in a new window) / Getty Images

New York City Mayor Eric Adams converted his first paycheck into Ether and Bitcoin; Burger King is slapping QR codes on 6 million meal boxes that unlock NFTs.

Cryptocurrency is having a cultural moment, but we’ve yet to reach mass adoption, despite what marketing campaigns might have you believe.

Rodrigo Vicuna, CFO at fintech-focused bank Prime Trust, shares his predictions for this year’s crypto market, suggesting that tighter rules might bring more consumers into the fold:

“It might seem counterintuitive, but more regulation provides more guidance, which provides reassurance for institutional and mass use.”

Will the latest selloff finally shake up how investors value startups?

The public markets have gone downhill in the past few weeks, but early-stage investments in startups aren’t showing any signs of slowing.

It may be that investors are taking off their hype hats and valuing companies based on how profitable they are rather than how fast they’re growing their revenue, wrote Alex Wilhelm in the Exchange.

“A shift toward a more P/E world for tech companies over a P/S stance would make profit more, well, profitable for companies. More valuable, in other words. That, in turn, could change how companies — startups included — invest and what they prioritize.”

Is algorithmic VC investment compatible with due diligence?

Pole lifting rubber duck with hook in its head

Image Credits: Andy Roberts (opens in a new window) / Getty Images

Increasingly, investors are spending more time looking at the numbers and less on founders’ personalities before cutting a check.

“In practice, attempts to remove bias can create newer, blind spots that are harder to identify,” writes Natasha Mascarenhas, who interviewed people who use algorithmic investment to guide their decision-making.

“Every little while, we hear more rumblings that the industry will shift to lean in this direction, but candidly, it’s hard,” said Clearco co-founder Michele Romanow.

“It requires deep technical expertise and a product to match, so while it sounds nice on the surface, people generally revert to what they know, which is the traditional gated system with humans making decisions based on intangible factors.”

3 ways investors can assess the strength of an NFT opportunity

Choosing between Orange fruit and peeled orange skin without fruit.

Non-fungible tokens are highly speculative, but Clara Bullrich, co-founder of TheVentureCity, says green flags are just as easy to spot as red ones — if investors know what to look for.

“Investors need to know the basics of NFTs and their potential, but they don’t need deep technical knowledge,” writes Bullrich.

“That’s because the real value of any NFT project lies with the people building it.”

TechCrunch+ roundup: 2022 VC predictions, how to hook an angel, product advisory councils

I’ve worked at early-stage startups where we relied on our best guesses to shape product pipelines and develop marketing strategies.

I have also held jobs at companies where we engaged directly with current and past customers to ask them what they wanted. You can probably guess which approach generated more favorable outcomes.

Whether it’s done informally via a Reddit AMA or a Twitter Space, it’s never a bad idea to interact with people who use your products and services.


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Well-researched personas are useful, but nothing is better than talking to a customer if you want to understand what delights them — and what they’re willing to pay for.

With a product advisory council (PAC), early-stage startups can tap into the their users’ hive mind. The benefits are many: PACs can help validate everything from marketing campaigns to future product planning.

But to build one, founders must first define clear goals and create value for participants. In this seven-step guide, you’ll find strategies and tactics for identifying key members and influencers, streamlining the communication process, and creating “a little FOMO.”

Thanks very much for reading TechCrunch+ this week. I hope you have a relaxing weekend!

Walter Thompson
Senior Editor, TechCrunch+
@yourprotagonist

Why Microsoft’s $2T+ market cap makes its $68B Activision buy a cheap bet

Microsoft's Xbox One video game console and Activision Blizzard's Call of Duty: Modern Warfare video game arranged in Denver, Colorado, U.S., on Tuesday, Jan. 18, 2022. Microsoft Corp. agreed to buy Activision Blizzard Inc. in a $68.7 billion deal, uniting two of the biggest forces in video games to create the worlds third-biggest gaming company. Photographer: Michael Ciaglo/Bloomberg via Getty Images

Microsoft’s Xbox One video game console and Activision Blizzard’s Call of Duty: Modern Warfare video game arranged in Denver, Colorado, U.S., on Tuesday, Jan. 18, 2022. Microsoft Corp. agreed to buy Activision Blizzard Inc. in a $68.7 billion deal, uniting two of the biggest forces in video games to create the worlds third-biggest gaming company. Photographer: Michael Ciaglo/Bloomberg via Getty Images

Risk is an essential part of gambling, so it may be improper to describe Microsoft’s planned purchase of Activision Blizzard as a “bet.”

Considering that Microsoft has a market cap over $2 trillion, purchasing a gaming company that pumps out titles like Call of Duty, Guitar Hero and Candy Crush for $68 billion isn’t exactly fraught with danger.

According to Box CEO Aaron Levie, the move solidifies Redmond’s entry into AR/VR gaming.

“If you believe VR and immersive computing is the future — whether for consumer or business use cases — Activision helps Microsoft build a flywheel of content and technology that gets more users on board to this future.”

500 Global’s Christine Tsai shares her 2022 VC predictions

Christine Tsai, co-founder and chief executive officer of 500 Startups Management Co., listens during a Bloomberg Technology Television interview in San Francisco, California, U.S., on Tuesday, June 12, 2018. Tsai discussed Abu Dhabi Financial Group's stake in the company as well as international expansion and running the firm after co-founder Dave McClure's departure. Photographer: David Paul Morris/Bloomberg

Image Credits: Bloomberg (opens in a new window) / Getty Images

2021 was a year like no other when it came to venture investment, and this year is poised to tread a similar path, writes 500 Global’s CEO and co-founder, Christine Tsai.

According to Tsai, 2022 will see web3 going mainstream, more capital flowing to underestimated founders, and broader investments in regions that have traditionally been overlooked.

“All signs point to a continued abundance of opportunities for startup founders and investors in the year ahead.”

Will quantum computing remain the domain of the specialist VC?

Central Computer Processor digital technology and innovations

Image Credits: Olemedia (opens in a new window) / Getty Images

Quantum computing’s potential applications include machine learning and computer-aided drug design, but the industry is still very much in its early days.

In 2021, there were approximately 90 quantum investments that totaled $1.4 billion. A significant jump from $700 million the year before, but compared to SaaS, not even a drop in the bucket.

Even so, we’re already seeing quantum exits: IonQ reached a $2 billion valuation after its 2021 SPAC, and Rigetti plans to do the same this year as it develops its superconducting quantum computer.

In a comprehensive market map of the quantum computing industry, Maria Lepskaya, a senior associate at Runa Capital, sorted the top companies in the space into 12 quadrants, “each corresponding to particular quantum technology and a stage of startups.”

Dear Sophie: How do I successfully expand my company to the US?

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Image Credits: Bryce Durbin/TechCrunch

Dear Sophie,

I’m an entrepreneur in Guatemala and would like to come to the United States to expand my tech company.

What is the best way to do that?

— Groundbreaking Guatemalan

5 areas where VCs can play an outsized role in addressing climate change

Five green rocker switches, all switched in the power-on position except the last one, arranged in a horizontal row on blue colored background

Climate tech startups raised $32 billion in 2021, but that amount is nowhere close to the estimated $2.5-$4.8 trillion required to fund enough adaptation and mitigation projects to make a meaningful difference.

Private investors can’t fill the gap alone, but VCs are in a unique position to change this dynamic.

By backing climate startups, they can de-risk proven climate tech, build legitimacy to attract talent, help with scaling, attract new kinds of investors, and shape the overall ecosystem, write investor Jamil Wyne and climate finance researcher Abrar Chaudhury.

“While most VC verticals will be assessed in terms of how much they return to investors, climate tech may be unique in that its success will also be determined, essentially, by its contribution to the preservation of our livelihoods and how much it can avoid a winner-take-all dynamic.”

Inside Secfi’s 2021 state of stock options equity report

Image of abstract multi colored pie chart made out of different pie peces on purple background.

Image Credits: Andriy Onufriyenko (opens in a new window) / Getty Images

It’s great to have a stake in the company you’re helping to build, but when employees don’t know the optimal way to exercise their stock options, they usually end up with a raw deal.

Last year, startup employees paid an estimated $11 billion in avoidable taxes by exercising their options post-exit, rather than pre-exit, according to Secfi data.

In a post for TechCrunch+, CEO Frederik Mijnhardt shared his analysis of the biggest trends around stock options in 2021, including why, despite stellar IPOs, most employees couldn’t exercise their options until after the exit, dramatically increasing their tax liability.

“Looking ahead to 2022, it seems that the industry’s current trend toward mega-sized rounds of funding and longer exit timelines mean that for the average startup employee, their total cost to exercise stock options will continue to rise,” says Mijnhardt.

If you want startup funding, don’t make VCs feel ignorant

Concept of the phrase physics in a nutshell. Physics formulas drawn on black paper with walnuts

Image Credits: Andreas Mann/yeEm (opens in a new window) / Getty Images

It’s important to ask potential investors questions, but first-time founders often alienate VCs by quizzing them about the breadth and depth of their knowledge.

The trick, according to Prashant Fonseka, a partner at Tuesday Capital: only ask easy questions.

“Save the challenging questions for a time when you’re selecting from multiple investors who are ready to write checks after you’ve convinced them your company is fundable.”

The berserk pace of fintech investing outshines the global VC boom

fintech

Financial technology concept.

From Buy Now, Pay Later to open banking and social finance, fintech has scaled rapidly since the pandemic began. Investment has kept pace with growth: last year, fintech accounted for more than 20% of all venture investments.

In a deeply researched post, Mary Ann Azevedo and Alex Wilhelm examine how fintech overtook and outperformed every other sector to the point where its outlines mirror that of the broader venture market.

“To some degree, it appears that what is true for the venture capital market is also true for the fintech market, but in a more exaggerated form. Fintech is like most venture, but simply more extreme.”

Changes to corporate investing rules could diminish China’s resilient venture landscape

China has a mature venture investment ecosystem, but recent interventions by the country’s government to rein in the tech sector have left many wondering whether startup investment in the country may suffer permanently.

In The Exchange, Alex Wilhelm makes the case that the country’s venture market will take a hit — but not a lethal one.

“There are lots of non-corporate investors in China who are still active. So long as they persist, the numbers will not collapse,” writes Alex.

“But potential new regulatory rules regarding major tech companies could prove to be a material knock to the country’s venture scene.”

5 essential factors for attracting angel investment

In a guest post by Marjorie Radlo-Zandi, the veteran angel investor shared five key elements she considers before investing.

Her advice is clear and simple, which makes it particularly valuable in an environment where startup funding is flowing faster than ever.

Few investors expect a first-time founder’s pitch deck to be the most definitive analysis of a particular sector, but you’re better off being cautious instead of overly optimistic.

“An extraordinarily high projection signals you’re not altogether credible, and I advise you to avoid this mistake at all costs,” says Radlo-Zandi.

There’s never been a better time to found a startup, but you can’t catch pennies from VC heaven if there are holes in your story.

NFT volume, DAOs and the curious case of LooksRare

NFT marketplace OpenSea largely had the field to itself, but after competitor LooksRare announced an airdrop for its $LOOKS token last week, it overtook OpenSea in trading volume.

“Let’s talk about incentives and governance tokens to parse out what’s up with LooksRare and the larger future of the financialization of everything,” wrote Alex Wilhelm in The Exchange.

LG and the hunt for the next-gen corporate incubator

On stage announcing LG Nova’s launch — Sokwoo Rhee, LG’s corporate SVP and head of LG Nova. Image Credits: LG

South Korean conglomerate LG produces everything from flat-screen TVs to soft drinks, so the idea that it would set up a startup incubator program isn’t a huge leap.

To learn more about the initiative, Haje Jan Kamps interviewed Sokwoo Rhee, LG’s corporate SVP and head of its North America Innovation Center.

“When I say new businesses, that can mean a lot of different things,” said Rhee. “We are willing to create a new business unit if the idea, suggestions and partnership hit a home run.”

Fintech and insurtech innovation in Brazil set to take off on regulatory tailwinds

Nubank’s present day headquarters in Sao Paulo, Brazil. Image Credits: NELSON ALMEIDA/AFP via Getty Images

A substantial portion of Brazil’s population remains underbanked, but instant payment system Pix processed more than 8 billion transactions last year.

Launched by Brazil’s central bank in November 2020, Pix is already used by 60% of the population.

To better understand how shifting regulations and increased adoption are impacting LatAm fintech startups, Anna Heim spoke to:

  • Amy Cheetham, partner, Costanoa Ventures
  • Javier Santiso, founder and general partner, Alma Mundi Ventures
  • Rodrigo Teijeiro, CEO, RecargaPay
  • Pedro Sônego de Oliveira, CEO TruePay

TechCrunch+ roundup: Allocating equity, unicorn traffic jam, blockchain gaming survey

Early-stage startup founders have just a few ways to recruit and retain employees:

  • Offer a competitive salary
  • Create a role that harnesses their interests/talent
  • Give them a stake in the company.

In most cases, equity will not leave employees with substantial wealth. But even the most embittered worker will think twice about walking away from a job before they’re fully vested.

In a TC+ guest post, Kirsten Prost, vice president at VC/PE firm Tercera, lays out detailed steps for designing your equity program.


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Her guide includes brackets and multipliers for contributors at different levels, along with fictional examples founders can use for modeling, and tips that will help employees understand the value of their stake.

Speaking as a veteran of many early-stage startups: entrepreneurs love to be seen talking about fostering an ownership mentality, but if that’s going to be more than happy talk, you’ll first need a transparent equity program.

We’ll be off on Monday, January 17 to celebrate Martin Luther King Jr. Day.

Thanks very much for reading, and have an excellent weekend!

Walter Thompson
Senior Editor, TechCrunch+
@yourprotagonist

Dear Sophie: Do we need a visa to explore the US market?

lone figure at entrance to maze hedge that has an American flag at the center

Image Credits: Bryce Durbin/TechCrunch

Dear Sophie,

My husband and I plan to visit our daughter during her spring break. (She’s an F-1 international student at a U.S. university.)

In between spending time with our daughter and sightseeing, we’d like to explore the feasibility of expanding our business in the United States.

Do we need to get a special visa to do that?

— Multitasking Mom

Unicorn exits augur poorly as Justworks delays IPO, citing ‘market conditions’

Image Credits: Bryce Durbin/TechCrunch

There’s a growing rift between the public and private markets’ valuation of tech startups, and Justworks’ decision to delay its IPO may well be a bellwether of what’s to come, writes Alex Wilhelm.

Software companies are getting hammered on the public markets, while the private markets continue to retain their enthusiasm for tech startups.

This difference in opinion, writes Alex, could turn out poorly for richly valued startups that want to exit this year.

“Justworks’ IPO delay indicates that the enthusiasm gap between private markets and their public analog is wide. And for pricey unicorns still bleeding cash, that’s terrible news.”

Blockchain gaming survey: 7 investors discuss regulation, opportunities and NFT hype

Wemade Co.'s Mir4 mobile game arranged on a smartphone in Seongnam, South Korea, on Wednesday, Oct. 6, 2021. Based on blockchain technology, Mir4 allows online players to convert in-game assets into tradable crypto coins, while their avatars hunt and battle in the virtual world. Photographer: SeongJoon Cho/Bloomberg

Image Credits: Bloomberg (opens in a new window) / Getty Images

Game distribution platform Steam banned blockchain-based games in October 2021: Any titles that incorporate NFTs or cryptocurrency were summarily booted from the service.

Meanwhile, within Axie Infinity, an NFT-based online game, new players are paying hundreds of dollars to acquire mythical pets and love potions.

Blockchain gaming is making inroads with some consumers, but given the lack of regulatory guidance and the speculative nature of many crypto holdings, what do investors think?

To find out, we surveyed seven who are active in the space:

  • Anton Backman, principal, and Kenrick Drijkoningen, general partner, Play Ventures
  • Banafsheh Fathieh, head of investments, Americas, Prosus Ventures
  • Josh Chapman, managing partner, Konvoy Ventures
  • Eddie Thai, general partner, 500 Startups and general partner, Ascend Vietnam Ventures
  • Beryl Li, co-founder, Yield Guild Games
  • Rajul Garg, founder and managing partner, Leo Capital

Setting up high-conversion lead magnets that deliver value

Magnet drawing people

Magnet drawing people

It’s one thing to get a prospective customer to visit your site, but convincing them to reach for their wallet or share their phone number is a stretch.

As consumers gain greater control over their privacy, Aleksandra Korczynska, CMO of GetResponse, says marketers who align lead generation with the goals of their prospective customers will gain a significant advantage.

“The key is building a foot-in-the-door technique for continuous engagement — lead magnets,” she says.

The SPAC boom was a failure, yeah?

Special purpose acquisition companies took 2020 and 2021 by storm, enabling a large cohort of companies to go public.

But, as they say: if something seems too good to be true, it probably is.

Disappointment isn’t limited to a single industry, writes Alex Wilhelm in The Exchange. Property tech, fintech, media, and personal mobility companies have all seen big drop-offs since their debut.

“I would hazard that we’ve collected enough data to call the SPAC boom a failure.”

Despite blockchain gaming’s play-to-earn angle, I prefer to pay

Isometric financial mobile game icons

Image Credits: Gunes Ozcan (opens in a new window) / Getty Images

Paying users to play is part of blockchain gaming’s unique selling proposition, but is that the purpose of entertainment?

Senior Editor Alex Wilhelm says he enjoys the fun and excitement associated with playing against others online, but “I am bearish on crypto games as they currently exist for a few reasons, even if the incentives are more aligned than they appear in traditional gaming.”

Why CNET co-founder Halsey Minor is bullish on NFTs

Halsey Minor is best known as a co-founder of CNET and an early Salesforce.com investor, but for the last several years, he’s been working in crypto.

After three decades developing content, he’s now leading Vivid Labs, which operates a proprietary NFT publishing platform.

“Much like I recognized the massive explosion of the internet many years ago, I see crypto and NFTs as the technology of the future,” said Minor in a TC+ interview that includes advice for founders hoping to raise capital for web3 projects.

Data show 2021 was a bonkers, record-setting year for venture capital

Next week, Anna Heim and Alex Wilhelm plan to file a series of stories for The Exchange examining sectors and trends in different regions. To build a foundation for that reporting, this week, they looked back at a record-setting year for venture capital.

In 2021, VC investment totaled $621 billion, an increase of 111% from the year before, according to CB Insights. Crunchbase pegs the figure at $643 billion.

“Regardless of which number we choose, it’s clear that well north of half a trillion dollars was invested into high-growth private companies last year – a rough doubling of what the same asset class managed in 2020.”

TechCrunch+ roundup: Cell-cultured meat, alternative financing, avoiding tech debt

You don’t need to be a scientist to understand the impacts of factory farming: if you’ve been near a North Carolina hog waste lagoon or driven past the enormous cattle feedlot in Coalinga, CA, the smell travels for miles.

In exchange for affordability and convenience, consumers, regulators and meat producers have learned to live with the many downsides of raising animals for food at scale: Greenhouse gases, water pollution, unsafe working conditions, and inhumane practices, just for starters.

But a United Nations report estimates that we’ll need to double global food production by 2050 to meet the needs of 10 billion people.

Rising demand for meat is driven in part by the rise of a global middle class. It turns out that the people who have the most buying power are also fans of cheeseburgers, and with consumption and population growth steadily increasing, one might even say meat is eating the world.


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In a deeply researched report for TechCrunch+, reporter Christine Hall examined the state of the cell-cultured meat industry and identified many of the startups innovating in the sector, along with the challenges they face when it comes to ramping up production and getting regulators and consumers on their side.

“It is still small-scale, and the most important thing we are doing that other companies should do is focus on the design, engineering and full-scale installations of vessels and the supporting systems to make a lot of it,” said Josh Tetrick, co-founder and CEO of Eat Just, which sells lab-grown chicken meat in Singapore.

Friederike Grosse-Holz, a director at impact investment firm Blue Horizon, said lab-grown meat is “a little like a moonshot,” but predicts that 11% of the seafood, meat, eggs and dairy consumed globally in 2035 will come from alternative sources.

“We are far from clear in knowing which technology will be the best,” she said. “So it is good there are so many players and a space for them.”

Thanks very much for reading,

Walter Thompson
Senior Editor, TechCrunch+
@yourprotagonist

Use alternative financing to fuel VC-level growth without diluting ownership

One big piggy bank and an empty road sign on coloured background.

Image Credits: twomeows (opens in a new window) / Getty Images

Investors are hungry for startups to throw their money at, but VC funding isn’t always the right option at all times or for every startup.

Alternative financing options such as revenue financing or expense financing are often overshadowed by the VC model, but they can be just as, and sometimes more, useful for SaaS startups, writes Miguel Fernandez, CEO and co-founder of Capchase.

In an in-depth post, Fernandez explains alternative financing for startups, and how to tell which option is right for you.

Startup accelerators’ definition of ‘value add’ is due for a refresh

Plus sign and increasing arrow print screen on wooden cube block on blue background which it mean positive sign such as more benefit thinking and mindset concept. (Plus sign and increasing arrow print screen on wooden cube block on blue background whi

Image Credits: Dilok Klaisataporn (opens in a new window) / Getty Images

One of the most notable trends in tech that has emerged during the pandemic is the steady commoditization of capital.

As founders find themselves fielding ample investor interest, accelerators are changing how they invest, what they offer to their cohorts, and how they maximize value and attract top talent, reports Natasha Mascarenhas.

“As capital gets further commoditized, early-stage investors are going back to the drawing board to see what is truly — and excuse my language here — a value-add service.”

Don’t trust averages: How to assess and strengthen the health of your business

Exclamation mark ,3D render against an orange background.

Image Credits: ShadowPix (opens in a new window) / Getty Images

Startups grow fast, and when you’re building one, it can be easy to lose track of what’s working — and what’s not.

One way to track how well your business is doing is to look at the big-picture numbers, but Karen Peacock, CEO of Intercom, has a warning: averages can be dangerously misleading.

“If Jeff Bezos walks into a bar with 100 people, suddenly, on average, the net worth of each individual in that bar is over a billion dollars. Is that useful? Would that lead you to take the right actions? No — averages hide true insights.”

Peacock explains how founders can assess where their business’ strengths lie, and where they need to work harder, including how to gauge revenue health and using customer segmentation to find “leaks in the bucket.”

Here’s how startups can prevent tech debt from piling up

Sink Full of Dirty Dishes

Image Credits: Leland Bobbe (opens in a new window) / Getty Images

Focusing on going to market, introducing new features and customizing your product to help land a major client are all proven tactics for driving growth.

But companies that go on building sprees without a clear product roadmap in hand usually end up with a ton of technical debt, writes Sowmyanarayan Raghunathan, VP of Engineering at Talentica Software.

To minimize tech debt, Raghunathan posits four rules for engineering teams:

  • Don’t let specific implementations continue for over three months
  • Do an architecture review of the product every 18-24 months
  • Upgrade to new open source versions two months after launch
  • Understand the product and identify NFRs in advance

With more data available than ever, are companies making smarter decisions?

Illustration showing a team processing data to support a business idea.

Image Credits: z_wei / Getty Images

For many companies, data is their greatest asset and at the same time, their largest problem.

In a follow-up to a 2014 post about the rise of Big Data, enterprise reporter Ron Miller looks back at the intervening seven years and found that infrastructure, technology and data analysis tools “have all improved dramatically, but it’s by no means a problem solved.”

3 views on CES 2022

An attendee wears a face mask while taking a selfie in front of the Welcome To Fabulous Las Vegas sign on the show floor during the Consumer Electronics Show (CES) on January 6, 2022 in Las Vegas, Nevada. - The CES tech show threw open its doors Wednesday in Las Vegas despite surging Covid-19 cases in the United States, as one of the world's largest trade fairs tried to get back to business. Despite some obvious gaps on the showfloor -- after high-profile companies like Amazon and Google cancelled over climbing virus risk -- crowds of badge-wearing tech entrepreneurs, reporters and aficionados poured through venues. (Photo by Patrick T. FALLON / AFP) (Photo by PATRICK T. FALLON/AFP via Getty Images)

Image Credits: PATRICK T. FALLON (opens in a new window) / Getty Images

If an event only attracts 25% of its usual crowd, for whom is it essential?

After covering CES 2022 from multiple angles for several years, TechCrunch Transportation Editor Kirsten Korosec, Hardware Editor Brian Heater and reporter Haje Jan Kamps shared their thoughts on how the pandemic has changed the event, and what this means for hardware companies:

  • Kristin Korosec: CES hasn’t lost its automotive luster
  • Brian Heater: Hardware startups should reconsider their media strategies
  • Haje Jan Kamps: I missed it sorely this year

TechCrunch+ roundup: VC advice for CEOs, 2022 e-commerce trends, OpenSea’s valuation

Data privacy is top of mind for online sellers, and for good reason: Regulators in China, Europe and North America are taking an interest, and iOS 14.5 allowed many consumers to disable data tracking, with negative consequences for companies that relied on Facebook’s granular ad targeting.

Bearing those factors and others in mind, Ben Parr, president and co-founder of e-commerce marketing platform Octane.ai, shared his e-commerce predictions for 2022:

  • Personalization and zero-party data become critical.
  • E-commerce embraces web3 and NFTs, but what will that look like?
  • Live shopping goes mainstream.
  • Slow but gradual improvement to the supply chain.

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If you manage an e-commerce startup’s brand, this is a helpful overview; Parr even weighs in on whether startups need to begin putting NFTs on their virtual shelves this year.

“I’m also eager to see brands utilize tokens for loyalty and rewards, a topic I’ve heard people discuss but not yet embrace.”

My prediction: We’ll be running many articles in 2022 with tactics for zero-party data collection. Google temporarily postponed its plan to deprecate third-party cookies until the latter half of 2023, which means the ad tech landscape is going to undergo tectonic shifts.

We have more expert-written posts with 2022 predictions in the pipeline, so stay tuned!

Thanks very much for reading,

Walter Thompson
Senior Editor, TechCrunch+
@yourprotagonist

Making sense of OpenSea at a $13B valuation

NFT marketplace OpenSea’s valuation has skyrocketed, but at $13.3 billion, its revenue multiple isn’t very high when compared with other software companies, writes Alex Wilhelm in The Exchange.

“It appears that the new OpenSea valuation is cheap compared to recent fundamentals, but a little expensive when we consider how much its market booms and busts.”

After talking to marketing leaders for a year, here’s my advice for CEOs

paper head with puzzle pieces-Autism concept.Blue background

Image Credits: Carol Yepes (opens in a new window) / Getty Images

This is a fantastic time to launch a startup, but if you’re trying to grow one — well, winter is coming.

We’ve already noted the impacts of new data regulations and consumers’ growing desire for more privacy, but here’s another log to toss on the bad news fire: As a percentage of company revenue, marketing budgets plummeted from 11% in 2020 to 6.4% last year.

“This is the lowest proportion allocated to marketing in the history of Gartner’s Annual CMO Spend Survey,” the research company reported.

Rebecca Lynn, co-founder and general partner at Canvas Ventures, has had dozens of conversations with early-stage founders in recent months.

In a TechCrunch+ guest post, she covers the “downward pressure on the efficiency of marketing dollars” and shares several strategies that are producing results — as well as some “crazy” ideas “that seemed ridiculous at the time.”

Mark Cuban-backed fintech Dave’s public offering puts SPACs to the test

As a startup with relatively good financial performance, consumer financial service startup Dave could have bided its time for an initial public offering. Instead, it chose the SPAC route.

While the decision brought benefits, the fact that a cohort of less-than-stellar SPAC listings debuted at the same time brought some troubles as well, said CEO and co-founder Jason Wilk.

“If I could have done it all over again, I guess it would have been the same price discovery and guaranteed capital without the name SPAC associated with it, just because it’s been unfair.”

5 growth marketing predictions for 2022

5 Running track with numbered lanes

Image Credits: PaoloBis (opens in a new window) / Getty Images

Our latest guest column with predictions for the coming year doesn’t just prognosticate: Growth expert Jonathan Martinez shares several tactics early-stage companies can use to capitalize on these trends.

Among other topics, Martinez shared methods for incrementally testing ads, his ideas about video ads and influencer marketing, and a few thoughts about Facebook and iOS 14 privacy changes.

“I believe we’ll start seeing heavy investments by Facebook and other social media platforms to keep users on their platforms, where they will still have access to first-party data,” writes Martinez.

Where will our data go when cookies disappear?

An oatmeal chocolate chip cookie with a bite out of it on a walnut wood board.

Image Credits: Robert Lowdon (opens in a new window) / Getty Images

Digital advertising has changed a lot in the past year, and it’s bound to change further when Google blocks third-party cookies from Chrome next year.

For publishers, it means advertising dollars should be spent wisely on strategies that maximize ad monetization without relying on old methods, writes James Avery, founder and CEO of Kevel.

In a deep dive of the changing ad world, Avery explains how publishers will have to prioritize first-party data to gather user insights, the importance of walled garden ad solutions, and why unified IDs are unsustainable in the long term.

Israel’s cybersecurity startups post another record year in 2021

Israel, Jerusalem national official state flag in a computer technological world

Image Credits: Filograph/Getty Images

Israel’s cybersecurity startups raised a stunning $8.84 billion last year, more than triple the amount raised in 2020 ($2.75 billion), according to YL Ventures’ State of the Cyber Nation 2021 report.

“Cybersecurity in Israel has become a polarized market that accepts only two types of startups: potential unicorns and actual unicorns,” writes Yonit Wiseman, associate at YL Ventures.

VCs and founders are max bullish as public markets flash warning signs

Four business people used ropes to tighten their money bags, economic austerity, reduced income, economic crisis

Image Credits: VectorInspiration / Getty Images

Public software stocks have lost a fair bit of value so far this year, but startup valuations continue to climb higher, seemingly unaffected by the markets’ declining opinion, writes Alex Wilhelm.

“Startups had best hope that private investors are right to index heavily on nascent growth rates over other traditional private-market metrics.

If not, everyone is going to be left holding some part of the bag when later rounds don’t consummate at higher prices.”

TechCrunch+ roundup: 2022 enterprise predictions, Justworks IPO, startup theses to watch for

Happy new year!

As is our custom, you’ll see quite a few TechCrunch+ articles in the coming days that share predictions for 2022.

Upcoming topics include fintech, crypto/blockchain and growth marketing, but yesterday, TechCrunch reporter Ron Miller shared his predictions for enterprise companies this year.

As he noted, making enterprise forecasts is tricky: In 2021, who expected Salesforce to snap up Slack for almost $28 billion, or that Jeff Bezos would hand over the reins of Amazon to Andy Jassy?


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“I sure didn’t see that coming, and I’m betting most people didn’t,” wrote Ron. “The tech world moves so quickly, it’s often hard to keep up.”

With “the usual caveats,” his prognostications encompass ongoing supply chain issues, the impacts of increased regulatory oversight in Europe and the U.S., and his thoughts on a M&A market where table stakes are measured in the tens of billions.

His boldest, spiciest take?

Salesforce … was quiet in 2021, busy closing the Slack deal. It won’t be too unrealistic to expect something in 2022. Maybe something SaaS-y like Zoom, Box or Dropbox. Maybe Benioff finally gets Twitter, a company he desperately wanted in 2016, as Casey Newton suggested in The Platformer this week.

Thanks very much for reading,

Walter Thompson
Senior Editor, TechCrunch+
@yourprotagonist

Justworks targets multibillion-dollar valuation in upcoming IPO

Justworks, an SMB-focused HR software company, released an updated S-1A filing today, which Alex Wilhelm dissected in this morning’s edition of The Exchange.

“For those of you in search of a single number, using a simple share count, Justworks could be worth more than $2 billion at the top end of its current range,” says Alex.

Your mom owns Web 2.0

BlockChain Blocks. Concept. 3D render

Image Credits: BlackJack3D / Getty Images

If you add a sizzling hot take to Twitter beef, you might end up with some delicious news analysis.

Block CEO and Bitcoin fan Jack Dorsey recently tweeted that despite steadfast claims from investors, “you don’t own ‘web3.'”

In reality, “the VCs and their LPs do,” wrote Dorsey. “It will never escape their incentives. It’s ultimately a centralized entity with a different label.”

In a subtweet, Chris Dixon, general partner at a16z, shared charts depicting how much financial holding companies own of Web 2.0 companies like Airbnb, Meta and Block.

“But Vanguard and Fidelity don’t really own that stock,” writes Alex Wilhelm. “I know that because I do.”

In reality, control of Web 2.0 is “pretty decentralized,” because shares are held widely by external investors like pension and index funds.

“Yes, your mom owns Web 2.0. At least part of it.”

When fundraising, New Zealand startup founders should play the “Kiwi card”

Kiwi crossing sign and Ngauruhoe Volcano, Tongariro National Park, North Island, New Zealand

Image Credits: Jami Tarris (opens in a new window) / Getty Images

In the final article in a series about New Zealand, Rebecca Bellan spoke to four stakeholders to learn more about how foreign investment and a fund of funds program are juicing up the nation’s burgeoning startup ecosystem:

  • Peter Beck, CEO/CTO Rocket Lab
  • Cecilia Robinson, founder and co-CEO, Tend Health
  • Phoebe Harrop, principal, Blackbird Ventures
  • Robbie Paul, CEO, Icehouse Ventures

“While starting on a rock at the bottom of the world comes with challenges, there are plenty of advantages, too,” said Paul, who advises native founders to “play the Kiwi card.”

Almost one of every five New Zealanders lives abroad, and that diaspora has helped the nation build a great deal of international goodwill.

“It’s an easy conversation starter and chances are most interesting people offshore have some sort of affinity or connection to New Zealand,” Paul said.

The coming reckoning: Showing ROI from threat intelligence

Egg between bricks on green background

Image Credits: Vladimir Godnik (opens in a new window) / Getty Images

In the fast-evolving world of cybersecurity, being proactive can make or break companies and brands.

But threat intelligence teams are still siloed and focus mostly on funneling data to security operation centers instead of communicating important information to other parts of the business.

This tendency, writes Chris Jacob, global vice president of Threat Intelligence Engineers at ThreatQuotient, forces CISOs to justify the cost of threat intelligence teams, despite their importance to the modern security framework.

Jacob shares three key recommendations CISOs can implement to become more effective advocates:

  • Think of threat intelligence as providers of a product.
  • Prioritize integration.
  • Formalize executive reporting.

3 views: Pay attention to these startup theses in 2022

Startup theses are malleable and prone to evolution, and as the market matures and evolves, it’s going to be harder than ever to predict what will work in the coming years.

Natasha Mascarenhas, Alex Wilhelm and Anna Heim lay down their views on the major trends they expect to see in 2022 and beyond:

  • Alex: 2022 is when open source will become the de facto startup model.
  • Natasha: Hybridize. Everything.
  • Anna: A majority of SaaS companies will adopt usage-based pricing in 2022.

Why Delivery Hero is acquiring a majority stake in Spanish delivery company Glovo

M&A is arguably one of the best and most efficient ways to significantly scale a business, and Delivery Hero took that path last week with its deal to acquire Spanish delivery startup Glovo.

In an in-depth analysis of the deal, Alex Wilhelm explores how acquiring Glovo is more about growing its share of the food delivery market for Delivery Hero.

“Glovo’s focus beyond restaurants put it in line with a very hot trend: quick commerce, or q-commerce. Its rise is exemplified by companies such as Zapp and Gopuff, and Delivery Hero took notice.”

“That the last page was the two companies deciding to just team up is perhaps less of a twist ending than we thought at first blush.”

TechCrunch+ roundup: Ahrefs’ homepage, digital health trends, 2022 marketing predictions

As we get closer to the end of the year, we’re running more stories that look back at topics we examined in depth over the last several months, and several that offer well-informed predictions for the year ahead.

This week, Bill Taranto, president of Merck’s Global Health Innovation Fund, wrote a TechCrunch+ article that explored six digital health trends his corporate VC fund is tracking as we enter 2022.

Between Q1 and Q3 2021, healthcare startups landed $21.3 billion in VC, “dwarfing the previous record of $14.6 billion set in 2020,” writes Taranto.


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“Companies with strong offerings, management teams and balance sheets are poised to capture tremendous value.”

According to Crunchbase, Merck GHI has made 75 investments with 22 exits so far, including companies that span everything from drug discovery to diabetes detection.

Artificial intelligence, IoT and data analytics are the primary drivers of innovation, says Taranto, “especially with data becoming the central currency of healthcare.”

We’re publishing on a light schedule between now and New Year’s, but we’ll be back with another roundup on Friday, December 31 to close out 2021.

Thanks very much for reading TechCrunch+, and I hope you have a wonderful Christmas weekend!

Walter Thompson
Senior Editor, TechCrunch+
@yourprotagonist

10 growth marketing experts share their 2022 predictions and New Year’s resolutions

We reached out to 10 growth marketing experts to find how they were preparing for 2022 and to ask if they had any New Year’s resolutions to share.

The answers and advice we received were as varied as the people we polled, but nearly all of them indicated that learning — e.g., analytics training, getting started with AI tools, etc. — was high on their to-do list.

Here’s who we spoke to:

  • Jonathan Martinez, founder, JMStrategy
  • Kate Adams, SVP of marketing, Validity
  • Richard Meyer, growth marketer, Tuff
  • Bas Willems, head of marketing, DataSnipper
  • Gus Ferguson and Alyssa Crankshaw, co-founders, Ascendant
  • Shane Hegde, founder and CEO, Air
  • Tracey Wallace, director of marketing, MarketerHire
  • Greg Sheppard, CMO, Templafy
  • Lauren Kelly, CMO, ThoughtExchange

How does former Better.com CEO Vishal Garg still have a job?

Better.com CEO taking time off

Image Credits: Better.com

Former Better.com CEO Vishal Garg is now taking time off after laying off 9% of the company’s workforce a few weeks before its planned public market debut.

The announcement was so poorly handled, the company soon hired a crisis management firm and eased Garg out of his leadership role after emails surfaced in which he berated investors.

Better.com says it has since hired an outside firm “to do a leadership and cultural assessment.”

Mary Ann Azevedo and Alex Wilhelm looked at the company’s corporate structure and found that investors have enough leverage to push the embattled founder overboard — which means they “must not be agitating for Garg’s complete removal.”

Capital is a commodity

packs of dollars on pallet isolated on white background

Image Credits: AlexLMX (opens in a new window) / Getty Images

By July 2021, startup founders had raised $268.7 billion from global VCs, an amount that surpassed the previous year’s total.

When cash is this plentiful, “capital is a commodity,” according to Charlie Graham-Brown, partner and chief investments officer of Seedstars, and Daniela Moreno, the firm’s investments marketing manager.

In a post that walks founders through different VC platform styles and the value they can provide, the authors stipulate two rules:

  1. No individual or VC firm is good at everything.
  2. What a startup needs the most will change over time.

Demand Curve: How Ahrefs’ homepage educates prospects to purchase

Laptop computer engulfed in flames

Image Credits: PM images (opens in a new window) / Getty Images

Home pages with high conversion rates have one thing in common: they make it extremely easy for a customer to buy.

“People have short attention spans, so if your homepage is confusing, they’re going to leave,” writes Demand Curve Community Manager Joey Noble in his latest TechCrunch+ post.

In a detailed analysis of the homepage for SEO agency Ahrefs’, Noble explains how the site captures reader attention, reduces friction and increases desire.

Bitcoin is religion; web3 is greed

In the final edition of The Exchange that we’ll publish in 2021, Alex Wilhelm turned his attention to a recent Twitter thread where Block CEO Jack Dorsey claimed that end users don’t own web3, “the VCs and their LPs do.”

His comment didn’t go over well with some prominent crypto enthusiasts who insisted that web3’s decentralized nature is one of its core features. “Is Jack wrong? No, he is not,” wrote Alex.

However, “while I am more than content to nod along to Jack stirring the web3 pot, I don’t agree with his general philosophy.”

Dear Sophie: What’s allowed between a K-1 visa and a green card?

lone figure at entrance to maze hedge that has an American flag at the center

Image Credits: Bryce Durbin/TechCrunch

Dear Sophie,

Great news! After a long COVID delay, my fiancée finally arrived in the U.S. on her K visa.

We’re thinking about eloping to Las Vegas for a quick wedding so we can get started on her green card application. (In Silicon Valley, we’d have to wait a few months to get a marriage license.)

After we file, we want to have a big wedding in the spring with her family and friends in her hometown and then go on a honeymoon. Is that allowed?

— Happy in Hayward